Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.003441 0.003839 0.004254 0.004718 0.005221 0.005749 0.006344
2024-10-13 0.002917 0.003491 0.004123 0.004866 0.005711 0.006639 0.007732
2024-10-20 0.002452 0.003097 0.003835 0.004735 0.005796 0.006998 0.008455
2024-10-27 0.002155 0.002850 0.003673 0.004707 0.005961 0.007418 0.009228
2024-11-03 0.001896 0.002616 0.003496 0.004633 0.006045 0.007725 0.009854
2024-11-10 0.001708 0.002451 0.003383 0.004618 0.006188 0.008091 0.010545
2024-11-17 0.001537 0.002289 0.003259 0.004574 0.006281 0.008387 0.011149
2024-11-24 0.001446 0.002225 0.003254 0.004677 0.006555 0.008908 0.012036
2024-12-01 0.001288 0.002055 0.003095 0.004564 0.006541 0.009059 0.012453
2024-12-08 0.001184 0.001953 0.003019 0.004556 0.006658 0.009373 0.013078
2024-12-15 0.001149 0.001946 0.003074 0.004723 0.007010 0.009998 0.014115
2024-12-22 0.001084 0.001892 0.003055 0.004787 0.007221 0.010437 0.014915
2024-12-29 0.001043 0.001871 0.003087 0.004926 0.007544 0.011042 0.015957
2025-01-05 0.001008 0.001857 0.003128 0.005078 0.007889 0.011684 0.017064
2025-01-12 0.000901 0.001720 0.002977 0.004943 0.007824 0.011764 0.017413
2025-01-19 0.000830 0.001637 0.002902 0.004914 0.007904 0.012042 0.018031
2025-01-26 0.000755 0.001540 0.002798 0.004837 0.007910 0.012212 0.018502
2025-02-02 0.000700 0.001473 0.002739 0.004822 0.008004 0.012505 0.019146
2025-02-09 0.000643 0.001399 0.002662 0.004777 0.008049 0.012728 0.019691
2025-02-16 0.000620 0.001384 0.002682 0.004882 0.008322 0.013279 0.020706
2025-02-23 0.000558 0.001291 0.002567 0.004766 0.008254 0.013336 0.021019
2025-03-02 0.000520 0.001241 0.002519 0.004757 0.008347 0.013627 0.021670
2025-03-09 0.000515 0.001254 0.002582 0.004931 0.008727 0.014343 0.022941